Taliban and Afghan government must work together to convince U.S. to withdraw all its forces – no other solution
It would be hard for Taliban to convince the Trump’s administration to withdraw U.S. forces from Afghanistan without Ghani’s backed support.
Key players in the political game includes Taliban, Afghanistan government and United States.
For example, earlier we saw the return of Gulbuddin Hekmatyar to Afghanistan after he agreed by the conditions of Afghan government namely to withdraw his request of U.S. forces to leave the country. The Taliban called Hekmatyar a traitor. Also, he has little support in the nation, thereby leaving him in failure in the upcoming Afghan election in July 2019.
Hekmatyar was so scared that he had to video tape his signature on agreement before coming to Kabul.
So, this leaves us with Taliban. Taliban too will mark their agreement in a different land – perhaps an Arab country such as Qatar where they are headquartered.
It would be dangerous for the Taliban to go hand in hand with U.S. without Afghan support because that would not include the last 17 years of policy in peace agreement, and thereby not including the new generation. This in turn, will likely produce one winner. In fact, Afghan government wants the U.S. forces to stay in the country for until 2024.
Finally, for the peace agreement to work, all parties that are mentioned must be included in the process in order to not rule out favours and make transparency look real in the discussion on peace.
Some advice to the parties includes “never do one on one talks”, and “losers go home together”.
At the World Economic Forum in Davos held last week, both Abdullah Abdullah (CEO) and Ashraf Ghani, President of Afghanistan provided useful details on the way forward, however, both were speaking negatively about the peace process involving the country.